Andy Jobber · Demand Strategy

Most businesses
optimise their brief
badly.

The brief that goes into a campaign determines what comes out. Most businesses invest heavily in execution and barely at all in the commercial understanding that should precede it. Channels get optimised. Briefs do not.

The brief deserves the same rigour as the execution.
Most of the time, it does not get it.

Commercial Weight applies a proprietary framework, the Five Layers of Commercial Intent, to decompose what is actually driving demand in a market. Not search volume. Not keyword rankings. The people inside the market, what is driving their behaviour, and where the real commercial opportunity is concentrated.

The analysis starts without a predetermined answer. There is no channel to sell, no execution contract that depends on a particular finding. The diagnostic is conducted on the market as it is, not as a proposed campaign requires it to be.

The Methodology

The Five Layers of
Commercial Intent

Most demand analysis starts and ends with search volume. A single number that tells you a market exists but nothing about who those people are, what is driving their decision, or whether they represent commercial weight worth building around. This framework starts somewhere different.

01
Surface Intent

What people are actually searching. The language they use and the shape of the demand signal.

02
Contextual Need

What they are really trying to resolve. The underlying drivers: urgency, risk, confidence, fear of getting it wrong.

03
Commercial Weighting

Which demand matters most, scored by Presence x Value x Likelihood to Act. Not volume.

04
Market Pressure and Differentiation

Where the market is crowded versus defensible, and where a change in approach creates real advantage.

05
Conversion Readiness and Risk

What needs to resolve before each group commits. The psychological and structural barriers that shape how journeys should be designed.

Commercial Weight Scoring
PresenceHow visible and active
×
ValueWhat they represent
×
Likelihood to ActWhat unlocks commitment

Not all demand is equal. A group with high presence but low likelihood to act represents less commercial weight than a smaller group with strong purchase intent and high value. The score makes that argument legible.

Demonstration Analyses

The methodology,
applied

View all analyses
Legal Services
Personal Injury and Clinical Negligence

The highest-value demand in this market does not search the way the market has optimised for. Volume sits with low-weight queries. Commercial weight sits elsewhere.

Home Improvement
Boiler Installation and Replacement

A high AOV market with long decision cycles and significant comparison behaviour. The ungoverned layer sits above where most suppliers compete.

Further analyses
Additional sectors in preparation

Further demonstration analyses are being prepared. Full sector PDF analyses are available on request.

If the brief is wrong,
the execution is optimising
the wrong thing.

If you are uncertain whether your current strategic direction is built on an accurate picture of the market, that is the right conversation to start.

Start a Conversation
Demonstration Analyses

The methodology, applied

These analyses demonstrate what the Five Layers of Commercial Intent framework finds that standard approaches miss. The claim is analytical accuracy. The accuracy of the output is the proof.

Legal Services
Personal Injury and Clinical Negligence

The highest-value demand in this market does not search the way the market has optimised for. The volume trap is consistent and the ungoverned layer sits above where most firms compete.

Home Improvement
Boiler Installation and Replacement

High AOV, long decision cycles, significant comparison behaviour. Five demand groups identified. The market optimises for urgency signals while the highest commercial weight sits in a different part of the journey.

In preparation
Further sector analyses

Additional demonstration analyses are being prepared and will be published here as they are completed.

Extended Sector Analyses

Full analyses available on request

Extended PDF analyses covering home improvement, legal services, digital marketing and further sectors are available as downloads. Leave your details and the relevant analysis will be sent directly.

Handled personally. No automated sequences.

What We Do

Demand strategy,
independent of execution

The diagnostic is conducted on the market as it is, not as a proposed campaign requires it to be. What follows is a separate question, and one that can be supported without compromising the integrity of the analysis that preceded it.

01

Demand Strategy Diagnostic

The core engagement. A full Five Layers analysis of your market, producing a commercially accurate picture of who is in it, what is driving their behaviour, and where the real opportunity is concentrated. Delivered as a written analysis and stakeholder presentation deck. The output is a brief that the client owns and can take in any direction.

01
Demand decomposition

Identify the distinct groups inside the market. Understand what is driving their behaviour beyond surface search intent.

02
Commercial weight scoring

Score each group by Presence x Value x Likelihood to Act. Identify where the real commercial opportunity is concentrated.

03
Ungoverned layer identification

Surface the single most commercially significant territory the market is currently leaving available.

04
Strategic roadmap

Written analysis and stakeholder deck, ready to take into agency, internal team or board conversation.

02

Commercial Forecasting

A forecast built to make the budget allocation argument, not to predict campaign performance. Three sequential stages that turn market understanding into a decision framework. Indicative, assumption-transparent, range-based. Designed to give leadership enough to investigate further with their own data.

01
Size the prize

Revenue gap quantification. What the market represents at the commercial weight layer, not total addressable market.

02
Argue the channel fit

Comparative channel efficiency against the demand groups identified. Where investment is most likely to reach the right audience.

03
Model the scenarios

Conservative, base and upside cases with clear assumption sets. A framework for the decision, not a performance prediction.

03

Ongoing Strategic Advisory

Retained access to demand strategy thinking for leadership teams and senior marketing decision-makers. Available as decisions arise. Engagement structure is flexible and agreed individually. The diagnostic precedes advisory work in all cases.

The diagnostic is always conducted without a predetermined answer. That holds whether the engagement is a one-off analysis or an ongoing retainer. The methodology does not change based on what follows it.

Start with a conversation
Start a Conversation

No pitch.
No obligation.

If you are uncertain whether your current brief is built on an accurate picture of the market, that is worth a conversation. All work is conducted personally by Andy Jobber.

LinkedInAndy Jobber
BasedReigate, Surrey. Working with clients across the UK.

Every enquiry is handled personally. Response within one working day. If a conversation turns into an engagement, the diagnostic comes first.

Handled personally. No automated sequences. No sales follow-up unless you want one.

Home Improvement · Demonstration Analysis

Boiler Installation and
Replacement

Five demand groups identified. The market optimises for urgency signals while the highest commercial weight sits elsewhere.

What this market actually is

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